Quite a few? Most? Not at all. He hasn’t even tried “most” or even more than a few.

Louisiana, the kind of state you characterize correctly, is NOT every red state. And even then there are a handful of red states with independent-leaning governors like Mike DeWine of Ohio and Andy Beshear of Kentucky who cannot at all be counted on to toe the MAGA line, much less if he federalizes their National Guard.

You’re insistent on ceding territory he hasn’t even touched and is not even remotely guaranteed to win in a fed vs. state battle. To what end?

There is a page linked in the 404Media article mentioned here that is chilling reading; it is their source for the article, and it describes how ICE chooses where to go to raid and to arrest and uncovers their operating procedure in more thorough detail, obtained from a deposition of an ICE agent. (Innovation Law Lab is a legal firm representing people suing ICE, hence the deposition material.)

It’s a short read but worth it. I think it should be required reading for anyone who wants to understand what is going on when ICE is about to show up and/or has the ability to use knowledge of ICE procedures to mitigate their own risk.

Innovation Law Lab’s page on ICE procedures:
https://innovationlawlab.org/news-and-analysis/dhss-operation-black-rose-early-analysis

404Media’s article “‘ELITE’: The Palantir App ICE Uses to Find Neighborhoods to Raid”:
https://www.404media.co/elite-the-palantir-app-ice-uses-to-find-neighborhoods-to-raid/

Archive link for 404Media article:
https://archive.ph/6K7R9

That is true on the federal level. State is a completely different matter. He only succeeds at the state level when state government is complicit.

Oh hell yeah. And I’d add this:

The truth is that they are counting on getting a signing bonus in five years from a man who famously never pays his bills and probably won’t even be alive then, working for a woman who they think has their back but who doxxed Jonathan Ross within two hours of committing murder for her. Within a year they will wish with all their might they’d never even heard of ICE, and there will never be a moment for the rest of their lives when it does not hang over their heads.

And if they really want truth, they should go talk to some retired cops, and talk about how the passage of time eats away at the excuses while magnifying the bare facts of one’s own actions, to the point that a disproportionate number of them eat their guns. So whichever way they look, the forecast is shit in every direction. It doesn’t pay to be a murderous fucking ghoul.

When I hear impossibly good encomiums like this pronounced as a defense when their loved one openly gets caught doing something heinous, it has the opposite effect on me, to the point they’d be better off just shutting their mouths. This is from Ed Ross, the murderer’s dad:

You would never find a nicer, kinder person,’ the father added about his son. ‘He’s a committed, conservative Christian, a tremendous father, a tremendous husband. I couldn’t be more proud of him.’ – from the Daily Mail article

Yeah. Tremendous. That’s what people said about Ted Bundy fifty years ago, and it’s always the same. This is not a joke and I’m not exaggerating: Bundy was active in his community, very popular to the point he even considered running for public office. The author Ann Rule met him while volunteering on the same mental health help line, helping people to not commit suicide on the night watch – and the whole time Bundy was doing his weird, dark, vile, unnatural murder shit. Over and over again.

And Bundy is just one instance out of countless many; I can’t remember a single time when all this impossibly high praise turned out to be anything more than worthless, empty words after someone really evil gets busted. It’s more like a hint to look harder for the bodies.

So when I see shit like this I just think Keep telling me about your Ed Gein spawn, motherfucker. Carry on.

Those pearls won’t clutch themselves.

Same here. I’m using noai.duckduckgo.com as the default address and it’s working great for me, should you ever decide to return. Some slop articles get through but not many and now I get no AI images at all as far as I can tell. I also have the huge AI blocklist going so I couldn’t tell you which is helping more, but it never stopped the AI images and noai.duckduckgo.com absolutely does.

Some AI pics truly creep me out; it’s that uncanny valley thing. For me a hint of it is somehow even worse than having an image that is obviously, overtly AI. It is such a relief to open an image search and not see a bunch of unnatural shite that only puts the hair on the back of my neck up.

Tetsuo from the end of Akira… yeah…

Way to paint a picture, man 🤣

Good luck!

What a nasty little bit of news to get out of the blue. You must be reeling right now. Wishing you all the best.

This old veteran went hard on some sloppy ICE ass, bellowing like a sgt first class the whole time:

Who did you shoot this time? Who did you shoot this time, you cosplay-triot fuck? I served in the Army for thirteen years to wear that uniform, and your fucking fat ass get 47 days days to wear it because you’re a fucking Meal Team Six, Gravy Seal motherfucker! You couldn’t fucking walk a day in my shoes, you fucking slumbag! Neither could you! Fix that fucking helmet! You look like a fucking soup sandwich! If I was your sergeant I’d give these fucking push in the fucking gut now, you fucking slumbag motherfuckers! Shoot me, bitch! Shoot me, bitch!

By the time he’s yelling Shoot me, bitch! they’re just backing away from him as a group, they can’t take it.

Reddit link:
https://old.reddit.com/r/minnesota/comments/1qdxovk/a_veteran_had_some_choice_words_for_icebortac/

Non-Reddit alternative:
https://redlib.catsarch.com/r/minnesota/comments/1qdxovk/a_veteran_had_some_choice_words_for_icebortac/

The military is not the FBI or the (well gutted) IRS, it is a worldwide operation with bipartisan leadership that has come up through the ranks. He’s come after dissenters at the top, general rank, but I haven’t heard of much going on lower than that. In reality the relatively short length of time involved and the vast scope of necessary purging that would be required to remake the military like other government offices suggest that it’s just not possible, and instead of hearing about turnover in military leadership what we’re hearing in the news is stagnation, and at one point approvals for promotions were not even being processed at all.

I don’t know what military people you personally know, or when the last time you asked what their level of support was, but not only is the military full of men and women who have never fired upon their own countrymen, it is full of brown and black people who are now seeing with their own eyes that US citizens who look exactly like they do are being scooped up right along with the undesirables.

I think you forget that he has already threatened the Insurrection Act in multiple instances to post the National Guard, such as in LA, and gotten shot down by the courts. And let’s not forget that he was talking about invoking full martial law before the inauguration. He wanted to have this done by last spring, yet it’s not. It’s not even near, because judges have already thrown the National Guard out of Portland and Chicago, and even more suits are in the works.

To be clear, believe what you want. I do not care about changing your mind. If your own evidence comes down to “you know people” then by all means rely on that. But I do not believe the wider facts support that conclusion at this time.

I just got into that with someone here the other day, lol. Not my clearest writing, but dude was just delusional, IMO.

Speaking solely for myself, there seems to be a lot of corroborating circumstantial evidence, times and places and dates that check out for people looking into it, but even if it’s 100% true I don’t think it’s ever going to be verifiable.

That said, I know a survivor, I know what their recollections tend to sound like and why, and to me Sascha Riley’s recordings do have the ring of truth to them, very much so. This is one of those things where people need to decide for themselves, but I do believe that he personally believes what he says, and that there is a likelihood that what he says is largely true in reality.

The original reporting:
https://lisevoldeng.substack.com/p/dont-worry-boys-are-hard-to-find

A partial overview of the same reasons I personally tend to believe him:
https://bethmcdonnell.substack.com/p/a-new-survivor-speaks-epstein-files

Completely agree, and thank you for the thoughtful reply. I was not aware of Thom Tillis’ remarks, I’ll check those out. Funny you should bring up Adelita Grijalva, because hers was the last signature required on the discharge petition, as you already know. But since then, there have been several more discharge petitions filed to get legislation on the floor and past Mike Johnson’s blockade, something like five, each one taking a handful of Republicans to cross the aisle and support it, who are getting threatening Trump phone calls and doing it anyway.

Another House example is Don Bacon, who’s finally found a vestigial spine after announcing his retirement last summer and clearly terrified because he’s still in office: this whole “the House could impeach if we invade Greenland” non-statement he made today is absolutely him throwing a sop to MAGA while doing nothing but making a hat tip to the extreme danger of any foreign invasion we undertake as a country, and to his own personal responsibility as a Congressman in getting us embroiled in it.

So the wind has definitely turned a bit in D.C., especially when you consider it would only take five House Republicans to stop the vast majority of this current madness.

And it’s the press as well: today Karoline Leavitt completely lost her shit because a guy from The Hill openly said that the ICE agent who shot Renee Good “acted recklessly and killed her unjustifiably.” This too is a HUGE crack. I’m sure you already know this, but during the first term when everyone in the press understood that White House access would be granted solely to those toeing the MAGA line, because of the Jim Acosta ban and other similar dramas where any reporter or organization not showing overt deference lost their access, today that reporter from The Hill just put it out there, in essence saying, “Fuck it, take my press pass, this is the reality.”

I was truly glad to see it. When a reporter for a national outlet like The Hill decides that the truth is more important than White House access, it’s a serious problem for the White House.

The dam is breaking all over. But it’s an incredibly dangerous time, and they can still wreak massive havoc on their way down and out in a Leviathan’s tail scenario, no matter how inevitable that exit may seem or how much copium I’m toking on any given day, lol.

EDITED to self-correct: Sean Spicer had already resigned by the time Jim Acosta got his White House ban

You could well be right, and you’re absolutely right about the mid-terms, but when you say we’re right on schedule, from the regime’s perspective I’d say we’re the better part of a year behind, and that’s why he’s speedrunning it now. He has provoked and is now fighting huge battles on EVERY front, and aside from SCOTUS it’s turning out that the courts are largely holding. Even SCOTUS has fallen somewhat short of 100% support, though to their shame, not by much.

I honestly don’t think he’s going to last to midterms. I’m not ignorant of the distinct possibility that he CAN, I just think he knows it’s now or never because he literally has nothing left to lose and has not managed to consolidate absolute power before the inevitable challenges to it began.

Also, to have martial law you have to have the military. Between the fact that this is a volunteer force comprised of servicepeople who have never had to shoot at their own countrymen, and some tacit and not-so-tacit reminders about not having to obey illegal orders all the way up the chain of command, I am not at all certain he has that.

The way to regime change is the same way you boil a frog: keep the heat low but slowly rising until it’s too late and the frog can’t jump out, even though he now knows he’s doomed. But because he is a creature of his own pettiness and unable to manage his own party, he’s accelerated his own schedule.

More and more Republicans are starting to cross the aisle, and while that is a low fucking bar for the rest of us, for the ones that do it, it’s a huge deal. Even the shooting of Renee Good was an own-goal, because it angered a lot more than Minnesotans. The certainty that he is not only in the Epstein files but that they are nowhere near going away is another growing issue: publicly, no one’s even trying to give him the benefit of the doubt anymore just because there is no doubt. And how many Americans actually want to annex Greenland, or Venezuela, or some other fucking country and see even more of our tax dollars siphoned off to other countries he doesn’t even know what he will do with while we can’t even afford healthcare anymore?

Even Putin’s propaganda machine can’t mask all this failure. Nope, it’s all blowing up NOW, because of his own stupidity, arrogance, and shortsightedness. He has to try to get a hold of it now, by any means, including extreme force, or it will all collapse. My thought, anyway.

Or you could be right and he somehow makes it through all this. Time will tell.

They don’t have the military, or rather the critical mass of support within the military that it would take to ensure the new fascist regime’s power, and never did. But he’s decided to test it anyway.

History proves that, unequivocally, there is NEVER a successful coup without either the tacit or overt support of the military and the secure understanding that if the ruling power wants boots on the ground willing to fight their fellow countrymen, that will happen.

He does NOT have this, but he’s decided to call for it and see if it sticks anyway. He’s speedrunning this on steroids because he knows it’s now or never.

You write as though you have no idea whatsoever how this works in reality.

Go read up on Alina Habba and Lindsey Halligan. Great legs, mediocre attorneys, illegal appointments, and they’ve lost more for the regime than they ever even began to win.

Hell, I’ll make it easy for you and give you a TL;DR: because the previous Virginia AG refused to prosecute revenge charges for Trump against his political enemies and walked out, and was replaced by Lindsey Halligan, the resulting questionable legal moves and political drama meant that in the end charges against James Comey and Letitia James have been dropped altogether. Similar situation with Alina Habba, who is now no longer New Jersey AG.

Walking out and taking your expertise with you, forcing the regime to find people to replace you, is already working very well on the ground to fuck up the regime’s revenge prosecutions.

A government derives its authority from the consent of the governed.

And the DoJ no longer had the consent of their prosecutors in Minnesota, so they walked, as was their right.

Walking out en masse and taking their combined years of experience with them was the right thing to do. Now the regime that already has a serious problem retaining legal talent has to go find some more talentless hacks to fill these empty positions, lol.

There’s a reason Pam Bondi’s truly pissed by this, and it’s not all superficial.

Truth. Say it as often as you can, because there are people commenting here constantly urging others to protest violently. It’s the worst thing we could do.

It’s the same here in the US, and this is why the regime has picked Minneapolis and Portland, Oregon to begin with: because those two cities had the most violence in 2020-2023 following the killing of George Floyd. But Portland has learned, and kept their protests non-violent, which is what the judge cited as her reason for declaring the presence of the National Guard there illegal in November. It’s the very first paragraph, and thereafter she calls the order illegal:

https://www.opb.org/pdf/FINDINGS OF FACT AND CONCLUSIONS OF LAW_1762564569662.pdf

In an email response to The Times, Tricia McLaughlin, assistant secretary with the Department of Homeland Security, said . . . “This was a highly coordinated campaign of violence where rioters wielded shields.”

Oh the fucking horror. How very dare those protesters cover their bodies against ICE violence.

The kid who got blinded was running to help someone else. Funny how words and acts of humanity and kindness seem to piss them off more than anything else. But that’s now a “riot” and that protester is now a “rioter.”

This newspeak is right up there with the couchfucker claiming Renee Good belonged to a “broad left-wing network” without so much as a clue of the word rest of us use to describe the same group: a neighborhood. Renee Good belonged to a neighborhood.

Oh the fucking humanity.