Based on the most recent special-election results, we should* see the Dems leave the 2026 mid-terms with 250+ house seats and a slight majority (50-55 range) in the senate.
Enough to impeach the orange turd - but not enough to convict, without some of the more moderate reps growing a spine.
* rough estimates based on a ~25 point swing in urban and suburban districts, and a ~15 point swing in rural seats towards the Dems from the 2024 result.
Again, this is also based on the idea that Trump won’t somehow rat-fuck the US to the point of declaring martial law due to a perceived insurrectionist uprising, and trying to cancel the mid-terms altogether.
Based on the most recent special-election results, we should* see the Dems leave the 2026 mid-terms with 250+ house seats and a slight majority (50-55 range) in the senate.
Enough to impeach the orange turd - but not enough to convict, without some of the more moderate reps growing a spine.
* rough estimates based on a ~25 point swing in urban and suburban districts, and a ~15 point swing in rural seats towards the Dems from the 2024 result.
Again, this is also based on the idea that Trump won’t somehow rat-fuck the US to the point of declaring martial law due to a perceived insurrectionist uprising, and trying to cancel the mid-terms altogether.