Howso? Most people understand that third parties are counterproductive spoilers and won’t risk it. You have to destroy one of the entrenched majorities first if you want a new party to accomplish anything.
That’s the kicker. If you don’t have a clean, single-cycle transition then you’re handing control to your worst enemies.
If we’re going to fracture a party, let’s fracture the right. Destroy the worse one first, then siphon from the less worse one once the fracture takes.
What? That’s nonsense. They have control because people didn’t do the smart thing. If enough people do the smart thing, the bad thing wouldn’t have happened.
Your logic is equivalent to:
Chain-smoke and you might get cancer. Don’t chain-smoke and you might get cancer anyway, so might as well chain-smoke. It’s nonsense.
Blame the people in power always. Your enemies have control because of the failings of Democrat leadership. We blame the people with the most power in everything, why not politics?
With that point aside and dealing with your smoking anology. Here’s what my logic actually means.
Stay smoking and you will be miserable. Quit smoking and you might still be miserable. Quit or no?
You know:
Do the good thing and a bad thing might happen. Don’t do the good thing and the bad thing will happen anyways.
Might as well do the good thing.
Unless you think chain smoking or cancer are good things, if not you can’t parse that quote with your smoking analogy and make it make sense:
Do the good thing [chain smoking] and the bad thing will happen [get cancer]. Don’t do the good thing [chain smoking] and the bad thing [get cancer] will happen anyways. Might as well do the good thing [chain smoking]. You see how you have a fundamental misunderstanding, or misrepresentation of the argument?
You’re getting distracted. I’m not saying smoking is a good thing (not that I think what you’re calling a “good thing” actually is good anyway). I’m demonstrating your logical misstep.
The same logic your argument is based on (If you vote Democrat, a Republican might win anyway, so you might as well throw your vote away on a third party) justifies my ridiculous argument (If you don’t smoke, you might get cancer anyway, so you might as well smoke).
I reject your suggestion that throwing your vote away is a “good thing”. It’s a stupid thing that temporarily makes you feel good, like smoking.
If you vote Democrat [bad thing, genocide is bad no?], a Republican might win [bad thing] anyway, so you might as well throw your vote away on a third party [bad thing]
You see how you have once again either misinterpreted or misrepresented the argument? 2nd time now, how many before we can assume deliberate misrepresentation?
Smoking was a good analogy, why run from it? Voting democrat [chain smoking] is the devil a lot of people know, and it sure as hell beats voting republican [heroin]. No argument from me: chain smoking > heroin.
But… you could quit smoking and not do heroin either.
But… you could quit smoking and not do heroin either.
Which is probably where you’re getting confused.
Republicans are cancer.
Voting Democrat is like not smoking.
Voting third party is like smoking.
The probability of getting cancer anyway does not mean that increasing your probability of getting cancer by smoking is smart, it is much better to not smoke. Maybe you still get cancer anyway, but at least you’ve improved your odds.
The probability of getting a Republican anyway does not mean that increasing your probability of getting a Republican by voting third party is smart, it is much better to vote Democrat. Maybe you still get a Republican anyway, but at least you’ve improved your odds.
Voting third party is not good or virtuous. It is counterproductive and contributes to the greater harm.
Yeah, it’s an absolutely unhinged argument to suggest that the only way to a multi-party democracy is to move to a one-party system first. They haven’t thought it through at all.
You say “most people understand”, as though basically every other functioning democracy in the world doesn’t have at least five or more parties sitting in their legislature.
(edit: curious about which of the downvotes are people butthurt about their democracy sucking, which are from bots, and which are from cowardly votescolds who wrongly believe that the path to salvation is to keep whipping people into propping up a failed two-party system that has led to America now being classed as a “Flawed Democracy” for the last 9 years by the Economist Intelligence Unit)
I’m speaking specifically about the US. Do those other democracies have the same FPTP electoral system as the US, or some other system that makes third parties viable?
There’s a variety of systems, America’s is far from special beyond the amounts of money involved. The UK has FPTP and over a dozen parties in Parliament.
As far as I can tell the main blocker to a successful multi party democracy is people like you promoting a self-perpetuating circular logic.
The UK has FPTP and over a dozen parties in Parliament.
They don’t use it everywhere. And even then in the House of Commons (where it is used), out of 650 seats, only one 3rd party (and independents) is in the double digits. 80% of the seats are 2 parties, the same 2 parties that have traded power for the past century.
Some other parts of their government do have other voting methods or even proportional representation, allowing other parties to govern.
They also have recall elections(/no-confidence) and more common prime-minister resignations (and probably tons of other rules that change how political power works), meanwhile we have the Electoral College for the presidential election which further ensures a 3rd candidate can be a spoiler assuming they can even win in 1 state.
No, it’s the system. It’s basic math. Acknowledging the features of the system does not make one responsible for the existence of those features, and ignoring them doesn’t make one virtuous.
It’s certainly “basic math”, in the sense of “unsophisticated” or “simplistic”. You’re persisting in treating something as a hard truth, that categorically isn’t.
You are incorrect. It is basic math in that the principles that govern its behavior are fairly low-order and easy to understand. You are not utilizing more “sophisticated” math, you’re just ignoring simple facts. A truth being simple does not make it less true.
You’re getting downvoted because you think pretending the US isn’t how it actually is will change it. Either that or you actively want to help the fascists
Howso? Most people understand that third parties are counterproductive spoilers and won’t risk it. You have to destroy one of the entrenched majorities first if you want a new party to accomplish anything.
Surely you destroy one of the major entrenched parties by not voting for them and instead voting for someone else who can than take their place.
That’s the kicker. If you don’t have a clean, single-cycle transition then you’re handing control to your worst enemies.
If we’re going to fracture a party, let’s fracture the right. Destroy the worse one first, then siphon from the less worse one once the fracture takes.
Do your worst enemies not currently have control?
Do the good thing and a bad thing might happen. Don’t do the good thing and the bad thing will happen anyways.
Might as well do the good thing.
What? That’s nonsense. They have control because people didn’t do the smart thing. If enough people do the smart thing, the bad thing wouldn’t have happened.
Your logic is equivalent to:
Chain-smoke and you might get cancer. Don’t chain-smoke and you might get cancer anyway, so might as well chain-smoke. It’s nonsense.
Blame the people in power always. Your enemies have control because of the failings of Democrat leadership. We blame the people with the most power in everything, why not politics?
With that point aside and dealing with your smoking anology. Here’s what my logic actually means.
Stay smoking and you will be miserable. Quit smoking and you might still be miserable. Quit or no?
You know:
Unless you think chain smoking or cancer are good things, if not you can’t parse that quote with your smoking analogy and make it make sense:
Do the good thing [chain smoking] and the bad thing will happen [get cancer]. Don’t do the good thing [chain smoking] and the bad thing [get cancer] will happen anyways. Might as well do the good thing [chain smoking]. You see how you have a fundamental misunderstanding, or misrepresentation of the argument?
You’re getting distracted. I’m not saying smoking is a good thing (not that I think what you’re calling a “good thing” actually is good anyway). I’m demonstrating your logical misstep.
The same logic your argument is based on (If you vote Democrat, a Republican might win anyway, so you might as well throw your vote away on a third party) justifies my ridiculous argument (If you don’t smoke, you might get cancer anyway, so you might as well smoke).
I reject your suggestion that throwing your vote away is a “good thing”. It’s a stupid thing that temporarily makes you feel good, like smoking.
You see how you have once again either misinterpreted or misrepresented the argument? 2nd time now, how many before we can assume deliberate misrepresentation?
Smoking was a good analogy, why run from it? Voting democrat [chain smoking] is the devil a lot of people know, and it sure as hell beats voting republican [heroin]. No argument from me: chain smoking > heroin.
But… you could quit smoking and not do heroin either.
Which is probably where you’re getting confused.
Republicans are cancer.
Voting Democrat is like not smoking.
Voting third party is like smoking.
The probability of getting cancer anyway does not mean that increasing your probability of getting cancer by smoking is smart, it is much better to not smoke. Maybe you still get cancer anyway, but at least you’ve improved your odds.
The probability of getting a Republican anyway does not mean that increasing your probability of getting a Republican by voting third party is smart, it is much better to vote Democrat. Maybe you still get a Republican anyway, but at least you’ve improved your odds.
Voting third party is not good or virtuous. It is counterproductive and contributes to the greater harm.
deleted by creator
Yeah, it’s an absolutely unhinged argument to suggest that the only way to a multi-party democracy is to move to a one-party system first. They haven’t thought it through at all.
You say “most people understand”, as though basically every other functioning democracy in the world doesn’t have at least five or more parties sitting in their legislature.
(edit: curious about which of the downvotes are people butthurt about their democracy sucking, which are from bots, and which are from cowardly votescolds who wrongly believe that the path to salvation is to keep whipping people into propping up a failed two-party system that has led to America now being classed as a “Flawed Democracy” for the last 9 years by the Economist Intelligence Unit)
I’m speaking specifically about the US. Do those other democracies have the same FPTP electoral system as the US, or some other system that makes third parties viable?
There’s a variety of systems, America’s is far from special beyond the amounts of money involved. The UK has FPTP and over a dozen parties in Parliament.
As far as I can tell the main blocker to a successful multi party democracy is people like you promoting a self-perpetuating circular logic.
They don’t use it everywhere. And even then in the House of Commons (where it is used), out of 650 seats, only one 3rd party (and independents) is in the double digits. 80% of the seats are 2 parties, the same 2 parties that have traded power for the past century.
Some other parts of their government do have other voting methods or even proportional representation, allowing other parties to govern.
They also have recall elections(/no-confidence) and more common prime-minister resignations (and probably tons of other rules that change how political power works), meanwhile we have the Electoral College for the presidential election which further ensures a 3rd candidate can be a spoiler assuming they can even win in 1 state.
That’s an astonishing amount of pettyfogging and nitpicking, that doesn’t even come close to dismantling the underlying argument.
No, it’s the system. It’s basic math. Acknowledging the features of the system does not make one responsible for the existence of those features, and ignoring them doesn’t make one virtuous.
It’s certainly “basic math”, in the sense of “unsophisticated” or “simplistic”. You’re persisting in treating something as a hard truth, that categorically isn’t.
You are incorrect. It is basic math in that the principles that govern its behavior are fairly low-order and easy to understand. You are not utilizing more “sophisticated” math, you’re just ignoring simple facts. A truth being simple does not make it less true.
You’re getting downvoted because you think pretending the US isn’t how it actually is will change it. Either that or you actively want to help the fascists