If you go with “will the internetworking between independent diverse networks ever go offline”, the answer to that is most definitely “no”. With so many independent entities involved, and so many redundant connections, data will find a way to be routed to where it needs to go. Perhaps a coordinated attack on undersea cables might disconnect continents from each other.
But if you go with “can the commercial Internet that companies use to sell stuff ever go offline”, I think we’ve seen that the answer to that is “yes”. As more and more commerce moves “to the cloud” I think people are ignorant about how concentrates computing in a few distinct geographical areas and companies. Yes, I am aware that those companies are very good at 24/7 operation and site reliability. Until they fire so many people that they aren’t reliable anymore.
I don’t think you are wrong, but here is a bit of my perspective.
Rot has been occurring in the industry for over 10 years now. There are now fewer qualified network engineers than around the turn of the century and companies are less willing to spend money on upgrades of network infrastructure (6500 is still relevant…). Also, many ISPs, at least in the US, have merged resulting in fewer diverse networks.
The upside now at least, is that ports are easily 100g, so you could argue that we need less network equipment and fewer engineers, but I’m not sure how much that offsets the problems. And 100+g ports don’t help you properly run a network, except maybe make it a smaller problem if you need fewer ports.
There are two ways to interpret the question.
If you go with “will the internetworking between independent diverse networks ever go offline”, the answer to that is most definitely “no”. With so many independent entities involved, and so many redundant connections, data will find a way to be routed to where it needs to go. Perhaps a coordinated attack on undersea cables might disconnect continents from each other.
But if you go with “can the commercial Internet that companies use to sell stuff ever go offline”, I think we’ve seen that the answer to that is “yes”. As more and more commerce moves “to the cloud” I think people are ignorant about how concentrates computing in a few distinct geographical areas and companies. Yes, I am aware that those companies are very good at 24/7 operation and site reliability. Until they fire so many people that they aren’t reliable anymore.
Don’t threaten me with a good time…
I don’t think you are wrong, but here is a bit of my perspective.
Rot has been occurring in the industry for over 10 years now. There are now fewer qualified network engineers than around the turn of the century and companies are less willing to spend money on upgrades of network infrastructure (6500 is still relevant…). Also, many ISPs, at least in the US, have merged resulting in fewer diverse networks.
The upside now at least, is that ports are easily 100g, so you could argue that we need less network equipment and fewer engineers, but I’m not sure how much that offsets the problems. And 100+g ports don’t help you properly run a network, except maybe make it a smaller problem if you need fewer ports.