Russia still outproduces all of NATO in artillery shells, tanks, etc.
One of the reasons they’re producing so many tanks is the high attrition rate of tanks in the face of Ukrainian resistance.
Similarly, counting artillery shells is a crude measure of how effective their use has been. Blowing holes in the ground where the enemy isn’t is just burning money.
most European countries only have enough stocks to survive an Ukraine style war on their own for a few months without help
With the qualitative advantages of European materiel over those of Russia, especially fighter planes, how likely is a protracted war? And what would happen to Russia’s productive capacity in those first few months? It’s likely that those factories are very near the top of target lists, right after command and control centers and mobile air defense installations.
A war will last as long as Russia is willing to throw bodies and materiel at it. Same as we see in Ukraine. If they can keep going until their adversary is out of men and/or materiel, they will eventually win. It’s unlikely to happen if the western alliance stays together, but considerably more likely on a country by country basis if they don’t.
One of the reasons they’re producing so many tanks is the high attrition rate of tanks in the face of Ukrainian resistance.
Similarly, counting artillery shells is a crude measure of how effective their use has been. Blowing holes in the ground where the enemy isn’t is just burning money.
With the qualitative advantages of European materiel over those of Russia, especially fighter planes, how likely is a protracted war? And what would happen to Russia’s productive capacity in those first few months? It’s likely that those factories are very near the top of target lists, right after command and control centers and mobile air defense installations.
A war will last as long as Russia is willing to throw bodies and materiel at it. Same as we see in Ukraine. If they can keep going until their adversary is out of men and/or materiel, they will eventually win. It’s unlikely to happen if the western alliance stays together, but considerably more likely on a country by country basis if they don’t.