If there’s one thing that you can say about this regime, it has been a regime of “first times”. I put the chance of actual midterms at perhaps 60%. Polymarket has it at 91%, so if I weren’t an Ontario resident, thus blocked from trading, I’d probably be spending some money.
They will also try to fix it, in case they can’t get it cancelled. But I believe they are doing everything they can to try and cancel it.
They are floating the idea at this moment that’s true. That is how this president works. Like he has one of his allies float an idea, like Michael Flynn and declaring martial law and rerunning elections under the guns of the military in 2020. I doubt they get the support.
I think they will be so unpopular though they will overplay their hands on congressional districts and not leave enough cushion, which is how the democrats took it in 2018. I don’t think the main cheating will manifest until the presidential election though.
Polymarket eh? I used to check out predictit, but the government made them shut down . That was a university led thing to explore getting more accurate predictions than polls I believe.
In my experience so far he is allowed to get away with anything his cult base will allow. Meaning he often acts illegally and/or against protocol, the damage is done, and then maybe, just maybe, the legal or democratic systems might react.
I agree with you that it seems like his main problem is that he may be moving too fast. He seems to have decided that he must move quickly, probably due to the inherent limitations of the election cycles and timing in the US. He has to make enough change prior to midterms, and prior to the next election, to lock in his power. If you consider his main motivation to be holding onto power, then everything seems to make sense. But in this case the American election cycles and timing, midterms and presidential elections, may actually be a saving grace, because he needs to make quick changes but if he moves too quickly he will provoke too much resistance. And another thing about Trump is that he is remarkably stupid when it comes to just about anything other than branding, so he may be unable to walk the fine line between change too fast and change too slow. And it may even be the case that with the American system set up as it is, that line doesn’t really exist.
If there’s one thing that you can say about this regime, it has been a regime of “first times”. I put the chance of actual midterms at perhaps 60%. Polymarket has it at 91%, so if I weren’t an Ontario resident, thus blocked from trading, I’d probably be spending some money.
They will also try to fix it, in case they can’t get it cancelled. But I believe they are doing everything they can to try and cancel it.
They are floating the idea at this moment that’s true. That is how this president works. Like he has one of his allies float an idea, like Michael Flynn and declaring martial law and rerunning elections under the guns of the military in 2020. I doubt they get the support.
I think they will be so unpopular though they will overplay their hands on congressional districts and not leave enough cushion, which is how the democrats took it in 2018. I don’t think the main cheating will manifest until the presidential election though.
Polymarket eh? I used to check out predictit, but the government made them shut down . That was a university led thing to explore getting more accurate predictions than polls I believe.
In my experience so far he is allowed to get away with anything his cult base will allow. Meaning he often acts illegally and/or against protocol, the damage is done, and then maybe, just maybe, the legal or democratic systems might react.
I agree with you that it seems like his main problem is that he may be moving too fast. He seems to have decided that he must move quickly, probably due to the inherent limitations of the election cycles and timing in the US. He has to make enough change prior to midterms, and prior to the next election, to lock in his power. If you consider his main motivation to be holding onto power, then everything seems to make sense. But in this case the American election cycles and timing, midterms and presidential elections, may actually be a saving grace, because he needs to make quick changes but if he moves too quickly he will provoke too much resistance. And another thing about Trump is that he is remarkably stupid when it comes to just about anything other than branding, so he may be unable to walk the fine line between change too fast and change too slow. And it may even be the case that with the American system set up as it is, that line doesn’t really exist.