Spoiler: Not very much at all
A 1pp increase in the ECI increases the contribution of NHS inflation to core PCE inflation by 0.15pp over four years—an effect of 0.04pp per year. As ECI growth has increased by about 3pp from its pre-pandemic level, this means that labor costs have added approximately 0.1pp to current core PCE inflation.
What are the implications here?
Prices (PCE) have gone up a lot. Wages (ECI) have gone up a little. So logically most of the extra money everyone pays for goods and services (inflation) is going somewhere other than wages…
Coincidentally, profit margins in certain industries have significantly expanded during this same period. It really does look like a lot of “inflation” was more like profiteering, many companies used the panic about inflation to push prices up regardless of actual costs.
It is crazy to think that a loss of our moneys value is to be expected and normal. If we used a hard currency such as silver then “inflation” would not be a problem as govetnmyths could not print more at will and devalue the peoples holdings. Governmyth is totally to blame for poverty through taxes and inflation
Your “hard currency” is inherently deflationary. This may seem good to you since it means your dollar is worth more tomorrow than it is today, but the same is true for everyone else’s dollars too. The net result is to discourage spending across the entire economy and that leads to much worst outcomes. There is a good reason that central banks aim for a small amount of inflation rather than zero or negative inflation.
