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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • You SHOULD NOT do software RAID with hard drives in separate external USB enclosures.

    There will be absolutely no practical benefit to this setup, and it will just create risk of transcription errors between the mirrored drives due to any kind of problems with the USB connections, plus traffic overhead as the drives constantly update their mirroring. You will kill your USB controller, and/or the IO boards in the enclosures. It will be needlessly slow and not very fault-tolerant.

    If this hardware setup is really your best option, what you should do is use 1 of the drives as the active primary for the server, and push backups to the other drive (with a properly configured backup application, not RAID mirroring). That way each drive is fully independent from the other, and the backup drive is not dependent on anything else. This will give you the best possible redundancy with this hardware.






  • Which means it’s the US on one side an the rest of the world on the other

    It won’t work out this way, no matter what happens.

    1. Pacific Rim nations will probably stick with US interests over European interests, because the US is the only thing between them and China (at the moment). Europe doesn’t have the global presence or the interest to operate in the Pacific. This includes: Taiwan, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea, Singapore, the Philippines, etc. Even if the US is showing itself to be a less reliable partner, it is still not (yet) an active threat to their interests the way that China is.

    2. Ukraine under Zelensky won’t just surrender to Russia and will probably tolerate a lot from the US in order to continue their defense efforts unless they are somehow offered EU membership/protection explicitly. I could see Ukraine breaking ties with the US if it meant joining the EU.

    3. The above might give Trump the excuse to say openly that Ukraine “didn’t want peace” (via surrendering to Russia) and then declaring open support for Russia in the name of “peace”. Then it’s an out-and-out US-Russia partnership.

    4. China will continue to pretend neutrality, continue to manipulate its rivals into destabilizing, continue using its neighbor countries to export its environmental disasters, and then invade Taiwan. If that doesn’t provoke direct conflict with the US, the rest of the Pacific Rim starts to look really vulnerable.

    5. South America is… complicated. Obviously a lot of nations like The Dominican Republic and Colombia would side against the US with Venezuela. Argentina wouldn’t. Is Venezuela under direct US control/occupation at this point? Brazil is a founding member of BRICS, so they’re probably aligning with China and/or Russia, but they’ll probably stick to conflict avoidance as much as possible.

    6. India might make some public statements of condemnation of imperialistic behavior to score political points, but that would be it. The only way they get involved in any conflict is if China is on the other side (or maybe Pakistan, but that’s more complicated).

    7. Iran is in so much trouble right now with Tehran being completely out of water, and the internal economic strife. They’re still a power in the region, but not really in a position to influence things beyond their borders.

    8. Canada won’t support US aggressive actions, but will also do almost anything to avoid direct conflict with the US. That’s a very difficult position which will produce confusing, noncommittal and seemingly self-contradictory actions and statements.

    9. Africa…? No idea, really.



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