garbage in - garbage out is the basic problem with using polls to explain every fracture within every issue. There’s also a deeper problem of trying to quantify what is ultimately not quantifiable. Polls can maybe give you a hint about changing moods but the reality of what is changing and why can’t be captured in numbers. What you can sample is the rate at which a mood is changing, which I acknowledge isn’t nothing but it’s also very limited.

And that’s without getting into the variety of ways polls are manipulated or outright rigged…