I use AI daily for work and my usage is growing steadily. I partially automated some stuff and it completely changed how we search knowledge. In a year I may flip it from me driving AI to AI notifying me when my input is needed.
I saw people wiring an LLM to chat with their shell. It sounds a silly exercise but it allows anyone to work with a terminal.
According to some reports AI also dramatically lowered the entry barrier to perform classic cyberattacks and there are the first cases of AI fishing.
It’s pretty wild already and much more advanced than one year ago.
That industrial revolution should have come already
I use AI daily for work and my usage is growing steadily. I partially automated some stuff and it completely changed how we search knowledge. In a year I may flip it from me driving AI to AI notifying me when my input is needed.
Okay, but since subscriptions for foundation models will have to go up at least ten to fiftyfold since it’s not profitable, how much money have you made with it? Is your convenience worth a few grand per month? Are there enough people like that to pay for this? And it’s not a hypothetical, the United States is running out of money to give OpenAI to fuck around in like 6 financial quarters.
I saw people wiring an LLM to chat with their shell. It sounds a silly exercise but it allows anyone to work with a terminal.
Yeah that works until it doesn’t and it breaks the computer. Still, how much money have people made with this?
Do you ever think that maybe you are missing it?
It really doesn’t matter what I do. I got a subscription for a year for one of the chatbots as a freebie with my credit card. I’ve used it a lot for internet search. It’s useful. I would pay maybe 2-5 EUR a month for it if the company was decent and would provide first class support for my use cases, like a Linux app, which it doesn’t. I got a local model running, which is useful, I might keep it.
But that’s beside the point. An industrial revolution means that a company using this thing is significantly more efficient than one that doesn’t. So where is that one company that this is true for? And please, spare me the CEOs bullshitting, I’m asking for numbers. Who is going to make a trillion with this next year? Because otherwise OpenAI and Anthropic is dead, and FAANG stocks are going to go down like 30%, taking the market with them.
And I’m still going to run my little local model, which does not mean that AI is going to be bigger business in a few years than selling microwaves. They are also useful, even ubiquitous, but they are not “an industrial revolution” and nobody is claiming “you are missing the microwave revolution” or that “every company is a microwave company”.
You seem pretty sure of your position and nothing I can say will change your mind. Maybe you’re right and lots of people like me are wrong. Quite frankly it would be massively surprising if all these investments, research, and product development ended in nothing especially with this rate of adoption, but hey… it’s not impossible, just very unlikely (IMHO ofc) 👋
Of course it won’t end up with nothing. Me and you will still use LLMs on our desktops, and make stuff with it.
All I’m saying is that Jen from accounts receivable won’t be using LLMs in Excel sheets, because on the one hand it’s stupid and on the other hand it’s not economical. And if that’s true, then the current hype will result in an equivalently sized crater in the US economy.
And I’m saying this especially because the rate of adoption is unsustainable, we can’t pay for so many people to use this tech for so little, it either has to do much, much more or be adopted much, much less. I only expect that gap to close, and the fear is that it will close with a lot of force.
I use AI daily for work and my usage is growing steadily. I partially automated some stuff and it completely changed how we search knowledge. In a year I may flip it from me driving AI to AI notifying me when my input is needed.
I saw people wiring an LLM to chat with their shell. It sounds a silly exercise but it allows anyone to work with a terminal.
According to some reports AI also dramatically lowered the entry barrier to perform classic cyberattacks and there are the first cases of AI fishing.
It’s pretty wild already and much more advanced than one year ago.
Do you ever think that maybe you are missing it?
Okay, but since subscriptions for foundation models will have to go up at least ten to fiftyfold since it’s not profitable, how much money have you made with it? Is your convenience worth a few grand per month? Are there enough people like that to pay for this? And it’s not a hypothetical, the United States is running out of money to give OpenAI to fuck around in like 6 financial quarters.
Yeah that works until it doesn’t and it breaks the computer. Still, how much money have people made with this?
It really doesn’t matter what I do. I got a subscription for a year for one of the chatbots as a freebie with my credit card. I’ve used it a lot for internet search. It’s useful. I would pay maybe 2-5 EUR a month for it if the company was decent and would provide first class support for my use cases, like a Linux app, which it doesn’t. I got a local model running, which is useful, I might keep it.
But that’s beside the point. An industrial revolution means that a company using this thing is significantly more efficient than one that doesn’t. So where is that one company that this is true for? And please, spare me the CEOs bullshitting, I’m asking for numbers. Who is going to make a trillion with this next year? Because otherwise OpenAI and Anthropic is dead, and FAANG stocks are going to go down like 30%, taking the market with them.
And I’m still going to run my little local model, which does not mean that AI is going to be bigger business in a few years than selling microwaves. They are also useful, even ubiquitous, but they are not “an industrial revolution” and nobody is claiming “you are missing the microwave revolution” or that “every company is a microwave company”.
You seem pretty sure of your position and nothing I can say will change your mind. Maybe you’re right and lots of people like me are wrong. Quite frankly it would be massively surprising if all these investments, research, and product development ended in nothing especially with this rate of adoption, but hey… it’s not impossible, just very unlikely (IMHO ofc) 👋
Of course it won’t end up with nothing. Me and you will still use LLMs on our desktops, and make stuff with it.
All I’m saying is that Jen from accounts receivable won’t be using LLMs in Excel sheets, because on the one hand it’s stupid and on the other hand it’s not economical. And if that’s true, then the current hype will result in an equivalently sized crater in the US economy.
And I’m saying this especially because the rate of adoption is unsustainable, we can’t pay for so many people to use this tech for so little, it either has to do much, much more or be adopted much, much less. I only expect that gap to close, and the fear is that it will close with a lot of force.