Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) openly admitted that she and her Republican colleagues were āall afraidā of āretaliationā from President Donald Trump as she criticized what she called āunlawfulā executive overreach and sweeping federal cuts.
Yeah, Iām aware sheās an outlier in that she beat back the crazies once before, but 2010 is not 2024. In 2010 Trump wasnāt a factor. The cult was forming, but there was no messiah yet. If tomorrow trump singled her out for hate like he did Liz Cheney sheād get wrecked instantly, and she knows it.
Alaska is just weird, and I wouldnāt attribute too much in national electoral trends to that specific state. It now has an instant runoff general election after a top-4 jungle primary, which makes the craziest candidates less viable. Sarah Palin is very much a Trumpist, but couldnāt win a statewide election in 2022 (enough Republicans in the state hate her that they voted for Begich first, then flipped to the Democrat or didnāt vote once Begich dropped out in the instant runoff).
Itād be hard to properly analyze a hypothetical about Murkowski running for reelection amidst a Trump attack campaign and an endorsement of a more Trumpist opponent, but I wouldnāt discount her chances even in that environment. Especially if she does succeed in forming a mini caucus with other Republican Senators that fight to preserve legislative power to check the Presidency.