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- cross-posted to:
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The 21-country survey for the influential European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) thinktank also found that under Trump, the US is less feared by its traditional adversaries, while its allies – particularly in Europe – feel ever more distant.
The poll, of nearly 26,000 respondents in 13 European countries, the US, China, India, Russia, Turkey, Brazil, South Africa and South Korea, found majorities in almost every territory surveyed expected China’s global influence to grow over the next decade.



America might once have cared to defend Taiwan, because the whole tech economy is powered by their chips. But the U.S. is so diminished, overextended, and chaotic that China clearly recognizes an opening.
I think Xi makes a move within the next two years.
Furthermore, Xi seeing that you can wreck foreign countries without consequences or accountability, he won’t think twice about international law when he feels to invade Taiwan.
Taiwan is China. It’s not international law that prevents him. Actually, other countries intervening is against international law.