The survey was conducted among 1,625 registered voters nationwide from Jan. 12 to 17, 2026.
This poll was conducted in English and Spanish, by telephone using live interviewers and by text message. Overall, 98 percent of respondents were contacted on their cellphone.
Voters are selected for the survey from a list of registered voters. The list contains information on the demographic characteristics of every registered voter, allowing us to make sure we reach the right number of voters of each party, race and region. For this poll, interviewers placed more than 188,000 calls or texts to more than 86,000 voters.
To further ensure that the results reflect the entire voting population, not just those willing to take a poll, we give more weight to respondents from demographic groups that are underrepresented among survey respondents, like people without a college degree. You can see more information about the characteristics of our respondents and the weighted sample at the bottom of the page, under “Composition of the Sample.”
The margin of sampling error among registered voters is about plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. In theory, this means that the results should reflect the views of the overall population most of the time, though many other challenges create additional sources of error.
To further ensure that the results reflect the entire voting population, not just those willing to take a poll, we give more weight to respondents from demographic groups that are underrepresented among survey respondents
That’s better than I thought, assuming those stats can be believed. NYT has a nasty habit of sanewashing or outright supporting the insane shit this administration does. Thanks for providing the info!
“By telephone” - that there shows the bias in the survey. Younger and more informed people ignore unknown calls due to the risk of social engineers.
I think they thought of that
1,625 is hardly representative of a data set containing tens of millions
Do you have math on the statistics that would suggest the error rate would be higher than 2.8%?
That’s better than I thought, assuming those stats can be believed. NYT has a nasty habit of sanewashing or outright supporting the insane shit this administration does. Thanks for providing the info!