American politics has entered a peculiar moment where hypothetical matchups between constitutionally ineligible candidates are generating serious polling data. A recent survey shows former President Barack Obama would defeat President Donald Trump by 11 points in a 2028 race—a contest neither man can legally enter.ContentsWhy This Poll Matters AnywayThe Numbers Tell a Familiar StoryThe Constitutional […]
I’ve seen it mentioned that they would try to claim it only applied to consecutive terms, so Obama, Bush, and Clinton would be out.
If they run again in the next cycle, it won’t be a third consecutive term.