The company says it is protecting nursing home residents by curbing unnecessary hospital transfers. Whistleblowers allege cost-cutting tactics have endangered the elderly
It is based on flawed assumptions and a complete misunderstanding of how business works. Not understanding the basics of ‘paying less out means for profit companies get to keep more money’ means I don’t really have a way to explain why it is bad. Like just understanding that basic concept should make it easy to see why your math is bad.
The first step is that the insurance company bets on how much someone will cost them on average. So they have estimated that x number of people being insured will cost the company y dollars. Then they collect those premiums and being able to keep 20% of that AFTER paying for the medical care AND the costs to process the medical care. If an individual costs more to provide medical care to the company loses money on that person and the costs are averaged out with others that cost less than the average amount.
So if they can get the majority of people to cost less then they come out ahead and can keep some of it as the 20%. If they guessed low on the premiums they might lose money. They do NOT automatically get the 20% portion and that portion has all their operating costs and what is left over is profit. The incentive to lower hospitalizations and deny care is that it increases the proportion they can possibly turn into profit.
Okay, but this law is over 15 years old. We can assume they’ve long since min-maxxed to get that 20% as close to bang on as possible. This is established as the general reason a for-profit healthcare system is bad (and that worse care also costs more than a single-payer solution). And why the ACA was put in place in the first place. To cap it there.
How to hit that 20% on the nose every fiscal year isn’t what I was asking. It was about the generally accepted claim that the more insurers DDD, the more money they make from premiums, thereby increasing their profit margin.
What part of my math was bad?
Yes.
So all of it?
Yes.
It is based on flawed assumptions and a complete misunderstanding of how business works. Not understanding the basics of ‘paying less out means for profit companies get to keep more money’ means I don’t really have a way to explain why it is bad. Like just understanding that basic concept should make it easy to see why your math is bad.
So let’s see. The first input in both equations is “Premiums paid to the insurer by the customer”. If that’s wrong, what happens instead?
The first step is that the insurance company bets on how much someone will cost them on average. So they have estimated that x number of people being insured will cost the company y dollars. Then they collect those premiums and being able to keep 20% of that AFTER paying for the medical care AND the costs to process the medical care. If an individual costs more to provide medical care to the company loses money on that person and the costs are averaged out with others that cost less than the average amount.
So if they can get the majority of people to cost less then they come out ahead and can keep some of it as the 20%. If they guessed low on the premiums they might lose money. They do NOT automatically get the 20% portion and that portion has all their operating costs and what is left over is profit. The incentive to lower hospitalizations and deny care is that it increases the proportion they can possibly turn into profit.
Okay, but this law is over 15 years old. We can assume they’ve long since min-maxxed to get that 20% as close to bang on as possible. This is established as the general reason a for-profit healthcare system is bad (and that worse care also costs more than a single-payer solution). And why the ACA was put in place in the first place. To cap it there.
How to hit that 20% on the nose every fiscal year isn’t what I was asking. It was about the generally accepted claim that the more insurers DDD, the more money they make from premiums, thereby increasing their profit margin.
I see two other people who have also clearly explained this to you but apparently you can’t let your incorrect assumptions about the 20% go.
What incorrect assumptions about the 20%?