The nuanced finding suggests the agency believes the totality of evidence makes a lab origin more likely than a natural origin. But the agency’s assessment assigns a low degree of confidence to this conclusion, suggesting the evidence is deficient, inconclusive or contradictory.
This really doesn’t change much though, the DOE put out the same low confidence theory 2 years ago. The fact that the intelligence agency hasn’t reached a better confidence level two years after the energy department said the same thing, that’s more like a massive strike against the theory than anything that supports it.
The main reason they don’t have the evidence is because China won’t cooperate. We may never know.