EN/NL PhD @ TU Delft CGV Loves EDM, LoL, TFT and MTG

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  • I didn’t mean dice rolls for who starts, but moving around the board.

    If you go around the board 0 times, there’s a 100% chance the player who started will be ahead.

    If you go around the board 1 times, there’s a less-than-100% chance the player who started will be ahead.

    Every added round around the board increases the.standard deviation of spaces moved. While the expected amount of spaces moved will still be higher for the first mover after their turn, the significance of this difference goes down as the standard deviation goes up.

    Therefore, running 100 rounds around the board before starting the game will change the first-mover advantage from being ahead 100% of the time to, likely slightly more than 25% of the time but very close to 25%.