Pretty ignorant of China’s politics myself, who to follow for good coverage of what’s going on in China? This latest consolidation of power by Xi, is it more of the same or is this something we haven’t seen before?
Pretty ignorant of China’s politics myself, who to follow for good coverage of what’s going on in China? This latest consolidation of power by Xi, is it more of the same or is this something we haven’t seen before?
Few things going on there. Disappearing a couple generals is pretty par for the course for Xi and it wouldn’t be ruffling any feathers if the economy wasn’t stumbling, unemployment wasn’t crazy high and his covid policy wasn’t an unmitigated paying-it-forward disaster.
He’s probably asserting authority because he knows he’s run out of a lot of runway, and I’ve read things and listened to people saying that Xi is really at the end of his rope, but being in China myself recently, so educated guess having talked to Chinese people, unless there’s a military coup, which seems imprudent and not to the advantage of the military, I don’t see Xi being ousted from leadership.
He’s changed the constitution so that he can be president for life, released indoctrination pamphlets, but way more importantly on the ground, has dominated trump publicly and repeatedly, which Chinese people love to see, and the technological infrastructure and development of China is so rapidly outpacing the rest of the world due to Xi’s directives(400% medical tourism increase in the last 5 years, more than double solar energy installation than the other 199 countries combined every year, 25% of global battery energy grid storage added annually in China alone, BYD destroying Tesla, driverless taxis being commonplace in China, delivery drones, wind farms/turbines) that China already looks progressive, almost futuristic, and has no reason to stop pushing forward.
It’s impossible to know, but i think this move will further strengthen his authority that is resting on his political victories on the public stage and that head party and military members won’t want to risk removing Xi from power now for fear of losing this opportunity to completely outpace the US in practically every field while trump is fumbling everything scientific, social, and technological while simultaneously destroying almost a century of international goodwill and trust.
Chinese people care a lot about face, and while they aren’t domestically happy about covid/economy/unemployment, a lot of them are very happy to be prevailing over the US and for the rest of the world to be witnessing repeated Chinese victories over the US.
2028? Depends on how Xi does. For now, I can’t see the advantage to any faction in China removing Xi in the near future and throwing away this golden opportunity trump has handed to them.