LLM everything. Nobody who is selling AI services is making any money on it. OpenAI is burning tens of billions a year without even a concept of a sellable product, Microsoft is losing billions on OpenAI, and Amazon made 5B revenue on a 120B investment (and negative profit). Nobody who is using these LLMs is paying the full cost, and hardly anyone actually uses them for anything real. Productivity hasn’t gone up for the vast majority of companies using it, and only ignorant management is pushing it hard.
I’ll give it three years until it all falls apart, and that’s very generous.
sim-cards
It doesn’t go without saying. I disagree about physical media. It’s one of the few ways to guarantee you actually own the thing you bought. People still buy brand new vinyl.
Technology rarely disappears completely, but it does usually fades into hobbyist and collector territory.
To answer the question, I don’t think SMS will be around much longer. It has many problems and is already being replaced by many different standards that are better in every way.
God, I can only hope SMS fades significantly, but I just don’t believe it will.
It’s part of the the cell framing, so there’s no reason for it to go away, unfortunately.
You’d have to get people to disable it, which isn’t really possible without root.
Windows.
I could see Linux finally talking off, but legacy uses will float around for decades
They can pry my bluerays from my dead cold hands
Yeah. And with how streaming is going, it’s either discs or piracy lol.
It sure is!
But gently so as not to scratch them.
And the modded firmware Blu-ray drives
Maybe not completely obsolete, but landline phones and fax machines.
I rarely see anyone using mp3 players anymore :(
Brit here. We (the household) had our landline switched over from analog to digital last year so if our internet connection drops out we won’t be able to use the landline. the reasoning was the phone cables are getting old and the government doesn’t want to spend money to replace them so landlines just connect to the router now. i know landlines aren’t obsolete but the technology which made them redundant is, at least in my area. the rollover is expected to be completed by 2027 iirc
I literally got a tech support call last week asking, “How do I legally get MP3s to put on this new MP3 player I just got?” I was kinda stumped. “Umm… Rip a CD?”
Bandcamp sells MP3s.
As does Amazon believe it or not. Of course then you’d have to give Bezos money.
Good to know! Legal, non-DRM? Do they have popular artists?
Rip a…a what? What do you mean, “rip?”
I don’t see landlines going away for a long time. Most residential doesn’t need either of them, but commercial will absolutely be using them for a long time. Businesses and corporations get a huge advantage from having phones that are so reliable. They don’t need to be charged, they never have to deal with poor signals, and they are cheap to replace of broken.
Fax will never go obsolete because of the medical system.
